Cardcounting
- how to cardcount at blackjack.
Card
Counting:
Personally
I like the idea of Card Counting but in Vegas I rarely can concentrate
long enough to do a good job at it. But if you can actually focus
long enough to do it, and not be detected by the Pit Boss, then
go for it. Pit Bosses frown on card counting and may toss you out.
The
basic premise of card counting is that probabilities of winning
change as the number of cards remaining decrease. The cards remaining
will increase your probabilities of winning if there are a lot of
high cards remaining or decrease your probabilities of winning if
there are a lot of low cards remaining in the deck.
The
most common system is to assign a value of +1 to the 2,3,4,5,6 as
they are played. A value of -1 to the 10, J, Q, K, A. The rest are
given a value of 0. As cards are dealt from a fresh shoe you keep
a running total of the +'s and -'s. For example if after the first
hand from the shoe a 10, J, K, A, Q, J are dealt the count would
be -6.
To
be effective though you also have to factor in how many cards remain.
This is more of an estimation on the part of the player but the
less cards that remain the more accurate the count. This is often
called the True count.
The
true count is determined by dividing the running count by the number
of half decks remaining to be dealt. Given that there are many decks
involved this is an estimation. For example if we had 2 decks left
and the running count is +8 the true count would be +2 (8 divided
by 4 half decks)
To
win you have to use the count when betting. You can use the true
count to determine how much to raise or lower your bet. Obviously
you want to be betting more when the count is higher to take advantage
of your increase probability of winnning. Use the following table
as a a guideline for betting based on the true count. Multiply the
unit number by the amount of the minimum bet.
The
only online Casino you can really count at these days is William
Hill and a few other Cryptologic sites. You must play the multi-player
tables to take advantage of the fact that the cards aren't shuffled
every hand.
| If
the true count is: |
Bet
this amount: |
| any
negative number |
1
unit |
| 0 |
1
unit |
| +1 |
2
units |
| +2 |
3
units |
| +3 |
3
units |
| +4 |
4
units |
| +5 |
6
units |
| +6 |
6
units |
| +7 |
8
units |
| +8 |
10
units |
| +9
and above |
12
units |
Remember
while you probably don't want to bet when there is a big negative
number you still have to keep up appearances that you are not counting
so you should continue betting a small amount.
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